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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Devin Clark won · U-DEC R3

Elo1380

Elo1496

Darko StosicvsDevin ClarkUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · Saturday, June 1, 2019Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Devin Clark won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDarko Stosic: WrestlervsDevin Clark: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Devin Clark wins(56.9%)

Actual result: Devin Clark wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Devin Clark at -110 American odds

+$91 profit

$191 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Darko Stosic has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Darko Stosic has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Darko Stosic

Red Corner

Devin Clark

Blue Corner

-110

(52%)

Vegas Odds

-110

(52%)

1380

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'0"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Darko StosicL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jeremy Kimball · Jul 18

vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Aug 19

vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 20

latest

Devin ClarkL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs William Knight · Apr 22

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 22

vs Da Woon Jung · Feb 23

SUBvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · May 23

vs Marcin Prachnio · Feb 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Darko StosicMetricDevin Clark

2.61

Strikes / min

3.03

4.04

Strikes absorbed / min

3.24

58%

Strike defense

44%

3.42

TDs / 15 min

2.17

83%

Takedown defense

58%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.43Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap-0.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Darko StosicDevin Clark

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Darko Stosic(4 fights)Devin Clark(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -115.8|Blue +115.8

Recent Form

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Striker Score

Red -1.9|Blue +1.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red +139.0|Blue -139.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Darko StosicTargetDevin Clark

By target zone

46% acc · 88%

Head

34% acc · 65%

60% acc · 12%

Body

56% acc · 13%

Leg

90% acc · 23%

By position

36% acc · 46%

Distance

35% acc · 70%

69% acc · 42%

Clinch

79% acc · 28%

50% acc · 12%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Darko Stosic rounds

even

Devin Clark rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:59

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:03Control

Round 2Darko Stosic edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control2:38

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

Round 3Devin Clark edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control1:35

26Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:30Control

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 55

Sig Strikes

40 / 95

48%

Sig Str %

41.7%

50 / 82

Total Strikes

90 / 149

1 / 3

TDs

2 / 11

33.3%

TD %

15%

Sub Att

Rev

5:12

Ctrl Time

2:52

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Devin Clark	7 / 18	19 / 31	1 / 4
1	Darko Stosic	12 / 22	13 / 24	0 / 1
2	Devin Clark	7 / 15	32 / 41	0 / 2
2	Darko Stosic	4 / 8	25 / 31	1 / 1
3	Devin Clark	26 / 62	39 / 77	1 / 5
3	Darko Stosic	10 / 25	12 / 27	0 / 1

Darko Stosic

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4

Devin Clark

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights17