Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Zac Pauga has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mohammed Usman
oldest →W
vs Jake Collier · Sep 23L
vs Thomas Petersen · Jul 24W
vs Hamdy Abdelwahab · Jun 25 Zac PaugaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Jordan Wright · Feb 23L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · Jun 23L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Feb 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mohammed UsmanMetricZac Pauga
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.42Δ 2.15 — meaningful gap+1.73
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mohammed UsmanZac Pauga
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mohammed Usman(6 fights)Zac Pauga(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +14.2|Blue -14.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mohammed UsmanTargetZac Pauga
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Zac Pauga edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Mohammed Usman edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
