Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Aleksandar Rakic enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Thiago Santos is a KO finisher (79% of wins). Aleksandar Rakic has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Aleksandar Rakic has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22 Aleksandar RakicL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Anthony Smith · Aug 20L
KOvs Jan Blachowicz · May 22L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Apr 24L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Oct 24L
KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago SantosMetricAleksandar Rakic
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.15evenly matched on net striking+1.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Thiago SantosAleksandar Rakic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Santos(10 fights)Aleksandar Rakic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -39.2|Blue +39.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -70.0|Blue +70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Thiago SantosTargetAleksandar Rakic
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Aleksandar Rakic edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:11Control
Round 3Thiago Santos edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:21Control
