Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Felice Herrig has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Felice HerrigL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Cortney Casey · Dec 17L
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Apr 18L
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 18L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Aug 20L
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Jun 22 Justine KishL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Ashley Yoder · Dec 16W
DECvs Luci Pudilova · Jan 20L
SUBvs Sabina Mazo · Sep 20L
vs Tracy Cortez · Apr 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Felice HerrigMetricJustine Kish
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.35Δ 1.27 — meaningful gap-0.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Felice HerrigJustine Kish
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Felice Herrig(10 fights)Justine Kish(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +27.3|Blue -27.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.5|Blue +1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -57.0|Blue +57.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Felice HerrigTargetJustine Kish
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Felice Herrig edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control3:10
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:06Control
Round 2Justine Kish edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control1:35
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
Round 3Felice Herrig edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control4:39
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
