Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Keita Nakamura (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Keita Nakamura
oldest →L
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Oct 16L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Apr 18W
vs Salim Touahri · Dec 18L
vs Sultan Aliev · Apr 19 Li JingliangL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 21L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 21W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 22L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Sep 22L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Keita NakamuraMetricLi Jingliang
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.97Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap+0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Keita NakamuraLi Jingliang
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Keita Nakamura(8 fights)Li Jingliang(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.3|Blue +3.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +47.6|Blue -47.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.8|Blue -49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Keita NakamuraTargetLi Jingliang
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Keita Nakamura edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control4:10
Knockdowns1
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Li Jingliang edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
55Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:48Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Li Jingliang edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:10
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:47Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
