Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Curtis Blaydes is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Aleksei Oleinik has lost 63% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aleksei Oleinik
oldest →L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Aug 20L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Feb 21L
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 21W
SUBvs Jared Vanderaa · Apr 22 Curtis Blaydes
oldest →L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Apr 23W
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Mar 24L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 24W
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Jun 25L
DECvs Josh Hokit · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aleksei OleinikMetricCurtis Blaydes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.51Δ 1.93 — meaningful gap+1.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Aleksei OleinikCurtis Blaydes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aleksei Oleinik(10 fights)Curtis Blaydes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Aleksei OleinikTargetCurtis Blaydes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Curtis Blaydes edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:16
Knockdowns0
30Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
1:17Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Curtis Blaydes edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:37Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
