Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Don Madge (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Don Madge
oldest →W
KOvs Te Edwards · Oct 18 Fares Ziam
oldest →W
vs Claudio Puelles · Feb 24W
KOvs Matt Frevola · Sep 24W
KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Dec 25L
DECvs Tom Nolan · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Don MadgeMetricFares Ziam
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.34evenly matched on net striking+1.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Don MadgeFares Ziam
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Don Madge(2 fights)Fares Ziam(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -35.7|Blue +35.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Don MadgeTargetFares Ziam
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Don Madge edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control2:22
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:29Control
Round 2Don Madge edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control2:51
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:44Control
Round 3Don Madge edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control4:22
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
