Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brian Kelleher enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Cody Garbrandt has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Kelleher (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cody Garbrandt
oldest →W
vs Trevin Jones · Mar 23L
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Apr 24L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jun 25L
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Jul 26 Brian KelleherL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Domingo Pilarte · Aug 21L
SUBvs Umar Nurmagomedov · Mar 22L
SUBvs Mario Bautista · Jun 22L
SUBvs Cody Gibson · Jul 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cody GarbrandtMetricBrian Kelleher
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.87evenly matched on net striking-1.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cody GarbrandtBrian Kelleher
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cody Garbrandt(10 fights)Brian Kelleher(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -252.0|Blue +252.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cody GarbrandtTargetBrian Kelleher
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Cody Garbrandt edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:21
Knockdowns1
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:36Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
