Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paul Sass threatens submissions; Jacob Volkmann has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Jacob Volkmann has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jacob Volkmann (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jacob Volkmann
oldest →W
vs Antonio McKee · Jan 11W
vs Danny Castillo · Aug 11W
vs Efrain Escudero · Dec 11W
SUBvs Shane Roller · Oct 12L
SUBvs Bobby Green · Feb 13 Paul SassL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Mark Holst · Oct 10W
SUBvs Michael Johnson · Oct 11L
SUBvs Matt Wiman · Sep 12L
vs Danny Castillo · Feb 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jacob VolkmannMetricPaul Sass
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.59evenly matched on net striking-1.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jacob VolkmannPaul Sass
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jacob Volkmann(8 fights)Paul Sass(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.2|Blue -138.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -90.0|Blue +90.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jacob VolkmannTargetPaul Sass
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jacob Volkmann edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control1:31
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
