Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cortney Casey has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jessica AguilarL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Claudia Gadelha · Aug 15W
vs Jodie Esquibel · Jul 18L
SUBvs Weili Zhang · Nov 18L
vs Marina Rodriguez · Mar 19 Cortney Casey
oldest →W
SUBvs Mara Romero Borella · May 20L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Jun 20L
vs Antonina Shevchenko · Jul 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jessica AguilarMetricCortney Casey
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.26Δ 2.55 — meaningful gap+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jessica AguilarCortney Casey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jessica Aguilar(5 fights)Cortney Casey(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -123.3|Blue +123.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.9|Blue +2.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +476.0|Blue -476.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jessica AguilarTargetCortney Casey
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Cortney Casey edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control2:36
35Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 2Cortney Casey edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns2
Control3:21
37Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 3Cortney Casey edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control0:31
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:09Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
