Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Scott Jorgensen has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Scott JorgensenL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Zach Makovsky · Dec 13L
SUBvs Jussier Formiga · Mar 14W
vs Danny Martinez · Jun 14L
SUBvs Wilson Reis · Oct 14L
KOvs Alejandro Perez · Nov 15 Manvel GamburyanL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Cody Gibson · Sep 14L
KOvs John Dodson · Apr 16L
KOvs Johnny Eduardo · Nov 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Scott JorgensenMetricManvel Gamburyan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.04evenly matched on net striking-0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Scott JorgensenManvel Gamburyan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Scott Jorgensen(10 fights)Manvel Gamburyan(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.7|Blue +2.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Scott JorgensenTargetManvel Gamburyan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Manvel Gamburyan edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:44
Knockdowns0
10Sig. strikes
4Takedowns
2:24Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control0:47
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:47Control
Round 3Manvel Gamburyan edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
