Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Allan Nascimento threatens submissions; Tagir Ulanbekov has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Tagir Ulanbekov has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tagir Ulanbekov (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tagir Ulanbekov
oldest →W
SUBvs Nate Maness · Nov 22W
SUBvs Cody Durden · Dec 23W
vs Clayton Carpenter · Jan 25L
SUBvs Kyoji Horiguchi · Nov 25 Allan Nascimento
oldest →W
SUBvs Carlos Hernandez · Jan 23W
SUBvs Cody Durden · Nov 25L
DECvs Mitch Raposo · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tagir UlanbekovMetricAllan Nascimento
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.43evenly matched on net striking+0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tagir UlanbekovAllan Nascimento
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tagir Ulanbekov(8 fights)Allan Nascimento(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -10.5|Blue +10.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tagir UlanbekovTargetAllan Nascimento
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tagir Ulanbekov edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control3:09
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:16Control
Round 2Tagir Ulanbekov edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns2
Control4:07
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Tagir Ulanbekov edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control4:48
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
