Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Quinlan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Josh Quinlan is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jason Witt has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Jason Witt has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jason Witt
oldest →L
KOvs Takashi Sato · Jun 20W
SUBvs Cole Williams · Oct 20L
KOvs Matthew Semelsberger · Mar 21W
vs Bryan Barberena · Jul 21 Josh QuinlanL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Danny Barlow · Feb 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jason WittMetricJosh Quinlan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.39Δ 2.42 — meaningful gap-2.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jason WittJosh Quinlan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jason Witt(6 fights)Josh Quinlan(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -53.5|Blue +53.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jason WittTargetJosh Quinlan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Josh Quinlan edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns1
Control0:27
Knockdowns0
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
