Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Dodson has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tim Elliott (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Dodson
oldest →W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 18L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 18W
KOvs Nathaniel Wood · Feb 20L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 20 Tim Elliott
oldest →W
vs Victor Altamirano · Jun 23L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 23W
SUBvs Sumudaerji · Dec 23W
SUBvs Kai Asakura · Aug 25L
DECvs Steve Erceg · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John DodsonMetricTim Elliott
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.38evenly matched on net striking+0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
John DodsonTim Elliott
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Dodson(10 fights)Tim Elliott(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -7.5|Blue +7.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
John DodsonTargetTim Elliott
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1John Dodson edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control0:07
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 2John Dodson edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns1
Control0:05
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Tim Elliott edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:00
44Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
