Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Holly Holm (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Holly Holm
oldest →L
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Jul 19W
vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 20L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 22L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Apr 24 Irene Aldana
oldest →W
KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Jul 21W
KOvs Macy Chiasson · Sep 22L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jun 23L
vs Norma Dumont · Sep 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Holly HolmMetricIrene Aldana
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.21Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap-1.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Holly HolmIrene Aldana
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Holly Holm(10 fights)Irene Aldana(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -1.5|Blue +1.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Holly HolmTargetIrene Aldana
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control0:39
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control1:19
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control2:06
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 4Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns1
Control0:33
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes48
Takedowns1
Control0:39
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
