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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Rodolfo Vieira won · SUB R2
Elo1483
Rodolfo Vieira
Elo1490

Rodolfo VieiravsCody BrundageUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · Saturday, April 29, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Rodolfo Vieira won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:28

Model Prediction: Rodolfo Vieira wins(66.4%)

Actual result: Rodolfo Vieira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rodolfo Vieira at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Rodolfo Vieira
Red Corner
VS
Cody Brundage
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
1483
Elo
1490
36
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rodolfo VieiraL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Armen Petrosyan · Feb 24
L
vs Andre Petroski · Feb 25
W
vs Tresean Gore · Aug 25
L
KOvs Bo Nickal · Nov 25
L
DECvs Eric McConico · Apr 26
latest
Cody Brundage
oldest →
D
vs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Jun 25
L
vs Eric McConico · Aug 25
L
KOvs Cam Rowston · Jan 26
L
vs Donte Johnson · Mar 26
W
KOvs Andre Petroski · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rodolfo VieiraMetricCody Brundage
3.43
Strikes / min
2.26
4.28
Strikes absorbed / min
3.02
49%
Strike defense
50%
2.87
TDs / 15 min
1.88
60%
Takedown defense
68%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.85evenly matched on net striking-0.76

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1514 vs 1500Strikes3.2 vs 1.6Takedowns4.2 vs 2.3Sub Atts1.60 vs 0.90Form-0.4 vs -0.1
Rodolfo VieiraCody Brundage

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501468148515031520← oldermost recent →
Rodolfo Vieira(10 fights)Cody Brundage(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -6.5|Blue +6.5
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red +175.0|Blue -175.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rodolfo VieiraTargetCody Brundage

By target zone

8
67% acc · 80%
Head
17
65% acc · 85%
2
100% acc · 20%
Body
1
100% acc · 5%
0
0% acc
Leg
2
100% acc · 10%

By position

1
20% acc · 10%
Distance
10
56% acc · 50%
2
100% acc · 20%
Clinch
0
7
88% acc · 70%
Ground
10
91% acc · 50%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Rodolfo Vieira rounds
0
even
1
Cody Brundage rounds
Round 1Cody Brundage edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control3:04
Knockdowns0
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:04Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Rodolfo Vieira edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control1:15
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
10 / 15
Sig Strikes
20 / 29
82%
Sig Str %
35.5%
30 / 37
Total Strikes
41 / 51
1 / 7
TDs
0 / 0
8%
TD %
—
2
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
4:19
Ctrl Time
1:04

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Cody Brundage20 / 2841 / 500 / 00
1Rodolfo Vieira9 / 1428 / 341 / 60
2Cody Brundage0 / 10 / 10 / 01
2Rodolfo Vieira1 / 12 / 30 / 12

Rodolfo Vieira

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11

Cody Brundage

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14