Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kyle NokeL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Patrick Cote · Apr 14W
vs Jonavin Webb · May 15L
SUBvs Keita Nakamura · Jul 16L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Nov 16 Peter SobottaL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Steve Kennedy · Jun 15W
vs Nicolas Dalby · Sep 16W
KOvs Ben Saunders · May 17L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Mar 18L
vs Alex Oliveira · Jul 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kyle NokeMetricPeter Sobotta
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.14Δ 1.90 — meaningful gap-0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kyle NokePeter Sobotta
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kyle Noke(10 fights)Peter Sobotta(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -28.2|Blue +28.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kyle NokeTargetPeter Sobotta
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kyle Noke edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
