Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jonathan WilsonL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Chris Dempsey · Aug 15L
KOvs Henrique da Silva · Jun 16L
vs Oskar Piechota · Oct 17 Ion Cutelaba
oldest →W
SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25L
KOvs Navajo Stirling · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jonathan WilsonMetricIon Cutelaba
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.73Δ 3.68 — meaningful gap+0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jonathan WilsonIon Cutelaba
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jonathan Wilson(4 fights)Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -135.3|Blue +135.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jonathan WilsonTargetIon Cutelaba
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ion Cutelaba edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:25
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 2Ion Cutelaba edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 3Ion Cutelaba edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
