Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nurullo Aliev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Nurullo Aliev has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Nurullo Aliev has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rafael Alves
oldest →L
vs Damir Ismagulov · May 21W
SUBvs Marc Diakiese · Nov 21L
KOvs Drew Dober · Jul 22 Nurullo AlievW3 streak
oldest →W
DECvs Mike Davis · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rafael AlvesMetricNurullo Aliev
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.45Δ 2.54 — meaningful gap+1.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rafael AlvesNurullo Aliev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rafael Alves(4 fights)Nurullo Aliev(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -107.7|Blue +107.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rafael AlvesTargetNurullo Aliev
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nurullo Aliev edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
0Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:27Control
Round 2Nurullo Aliev edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:13Control
Round 3Nurullo Aliev edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control1:18
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:11Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
