Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nate Marquardt enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Nate Marquardt is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Tamdan McCrory has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Nate Marquardt has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tamdan McCrory (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nate MarquardtL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs CB Dollaway · Dec 15L
KOvs Thiago Santos · May 16L
vs Vitor Belfort · Jun 17L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Nov 17 Tamdan McCrory
oldest →W
SUBvs Josh Samman · Dec 15L
KOvs Krzysztof Jotko · Jun 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nate MarquardtMetricTamdan McCrory
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.39evenly matched on net striking+0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nate MarquardtTamdan McCrory
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nate Marquardt(10 fights)Tamdan McCrory(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +4.5|Blue -4.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nate MarquardtTargetTamdan McCrory
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nate Marquardt edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control2:54
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Nate Marquardt edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control2:06
Knockdowns1
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
