Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nasrat Haqparast has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Nasrat Haqparast (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thibault Gouti
oldest →L
SUBvs Teemu Packalen · Feb 16L
SUBvs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Jun 16L
KOvs Chad Laprise · Aug 16W
KOvs Andrew Holbrook · Sep 17L
vs Sage Northcutt · Feb 18 Nasrat Haqparast
oldest →W
vs Landon Quinones · Sep 23W
KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · Dec 23W
vs Jared Gordon · Jun 24W
vs Esteban Ribovics · Mar 25L
KOvs Quillan Salkilld · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thibault GoutiMetricNasrat Haqparast
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.96Δ 2.32 — meaningful gap+0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Thibault GoutiNasrat Haqparast
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thibault Gouti(6 fights)Nasrat Haqparast(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -141.6|Blue +141.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +154.0|Blue -154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Thibault GoutiTargetNasrat Haqparast
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nasrat Haqparast edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Thibault Gouti edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:00
37Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Nasrat Haqparast edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
57Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:54Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
