Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jared Cannonier
oldest →W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jun 23L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jun 24L
vs Caio Borralho · Aug 24W
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 25L
vs Michael Page · Aug 25 Christian Leroy DuncanW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Gregory Rodrigues · Jul 24W
vs Andrey Pulyaev · Mar 25W
KOvs Eryk Anders · Aug 25W
KOvs Marco Tulio · Nov 25W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jared CannonierMetricChristian Leroy Duncan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.07Δ 1.77 — meaningful gap+1.84
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jared Cannonier(10 fights)Christian Leroy Duncan(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -96.0|Blue +96.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +217.0|Blue -217.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jared CannonierTargetChristian Leroy Duncan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Christian Leroy Duncan rounds
Round 1Christian Leroy Duncan edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control2:02
27Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:09Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control2:19
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:44Control
Round 3Christian Leroy Duncan edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns3
Control1:51
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:23Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
