Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marion Reneau enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marion ReneauL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Feb 18L
vs Yana Kunitskaya · Mar 19L
vs Raquel Pennington · Jun 20L
vs Macy Chiasson · Mar 21 Miesha Tate
oldest →L
vs Raquel Pennington · Nov 16L
vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 21L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jul 22W
SUBvs Julia Avila · Dec 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marion ReneauMetricMiesha Tate
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.32evenly matched on net striking-0.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marion ReneauMiesha Tate
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marion Reneau(10 fights)Miesha Tate(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -91.4|Blue +91.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -1589.0|Blue +1589.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marion ReneauTargetMiesha Tate
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Miesha Tate edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:36Control
Round 2Miesha Tate edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:01Control
Round 3Miesha Tate edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:15Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
