Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Julio Arce has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Julio Arce has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Julio Arce (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Song Yadong
oldest →W
vs Chris Gutierrez · Dec 23W
vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 25L
vs Sean O'Malley · Jan 26W
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 26 Julio Arce
oldest →L
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Nov 19W
KOvs Andre Ewell · Jul 21W
vs Daniel Santos · Apr 22L
vs Montel Jackson · Nov 22W
KOvs Herbert Burns · Mar 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Song YadongMetricJulio Arce
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.48evenly matched on net striking+1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Song YadongJulio Arce
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Song Yadong(10 fights)Julio Arce(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +13.9|Blue -13.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Song YadongTargetJulio Arce
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Song Yadong edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Song Yadong edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
