Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Neer enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Josh Neer is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Duane Ludwig has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Duane LudwigL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Darren Elkins · Mar 10W
vs Nick Osipczak · Nov 10W
vs Amir Sadollah · Aug 11 Josh NeerL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Keith Wisniewski · Oct 11L
SUBvs Justin Edwards · Oct 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Duane LudwigMetricJosh Neer
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.57Δ 1.91 — meaningful gap-0.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Duane LudwigJosh Neer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Duane Ludwig(6 fights)Josh Neer(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +48.0|Blue -48.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Duane LudwigTargetJosh Neer
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Duane Ludwig edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:10
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:09Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
