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Middleweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Anderson Silva won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1391
Anderson Silva
Elo1491
Vitor Belfort

Anderson SilvavsVitor BelfortUFC Prediction Result

UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · Saturday, February 5, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Anderson Silva won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:25

Model Prediction: Anderson Silva wins(77.5%)

Actual result: Anderson Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anderson Silva at -210 American odds

+$48 profit

$148 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Anderson Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Anderson Silva is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Vitor Belfort has lost 83% of fights by KO.
  • Vitor Belfort is a KO finisher (71% of wins). Anderson Silva has lost 57% of fights by KO.
  • Anderson Silva has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Anderson Silva has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Anderson Silva
Red Corner
VS
Vitor Belfort
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
1391
Elo
1491
51
Age
49
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'0"
195.58 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anderson SilvaL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Daniel Cormier · Jul 16
W
vs Derek Brunson · Feb 17
L
vs Israel Adesanya · Feb 19
L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · May 19
L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Oct 20
latest
Vitor Belfort
oldest →
W
KOvs Dan Henderson · Nov 15
L
KOvs Jacare Souza · May 16
L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Oct 16
W
vs Nate Marquardt · Jun 17
L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · May 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anderson SilvaMetricVitor Belfort
3.05
Strikes / min
1.59
2.05
Strikes absorbed / min
2.83
60%
Strike defense
50%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
1.02
69%
Takedown defense
53%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.00Δ 2.24 — meaningful gap-1.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1536 vs 1500Strikes32.7 vs 9.6Takedowns0.3 vs 0.5Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.50Form1.0 vs 0.0
Anderson SilvaVitor Belfort

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Anderson Silva(10 fights)Vitor Belfort(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -100.3|Blue +100.3
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -47.8|Blue +47.8
Grappler Score
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anderson SilvaTargetVitor Belfort

By target zone

4
50% acc · 67%
Head
4
31% acc · 67%
0
Body
0
2
100% acc · 33%
Leg
2
100% acc · 33%

By position

3
43% acc · 50%
Distance
5
42% acc · 83%
1
100% acc · 17%
Clinch
1
50% acc · 17%
2
100% acc · 33%
Ground
0
0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Anderson Silva rounds
0
even
0
Vitor Belfort rounds
Round 1Anderson Silva edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
6 / 10
Sig Strikes
6 / 15
60%
Sig Str %
40%
6 / 10
Total Strikes
6 / 15
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:05
Ctrl Time
0:03

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Vitor Belfort6 / 156 / 150 / 00
1Anderson Silva6 / 106 / 100 / 00

Anderson Silva

StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights14

Vitor Belfort

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights13