Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rashad Evans enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Rashad Evans has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rashad EvansL5 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Glover Teixeira · Apr 16L
vs Daniel Kelly · Mar 17L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Jun 18 Tito OrtizL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Ryan Bader · Jul 11L
KOvs Rogerio Nogueira · Dec 11L
vs Forrest Griffin · Jul 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rashad EvansMetricTito Ortiz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.28evenly matched on net striking-0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rashad EvansTito Ortiz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rashad Evans(10 fights)Tito Ortiz(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +14.2|Blue -14.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +399.0|Blue -399.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rashad EvansTargetTito Ortiz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Rashad Evans edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control1:29
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:04Control
Round 2Rashad Evans edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control3:36
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
