Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luke Rockhold enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Tim Boetsch is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Luke Rockhold has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Luke Rockhold threatens submissions; Tim Boetsch has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Luke Rockhold (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luke RockholdL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Michael Bisping · Jun 16W
KOvs David Branch · Sep 17L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Feb 18L
KOvs Jan Blachowicz · Jul 19 Tim BoetschL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 16L
SUBvs Jacare Souza · Feb 17W
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Jun 17L
SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Apr 18L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Mar 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luke RockholdMetricTim Boetsch
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.42Δ 1.39 — meaningful gap+0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Luke RockholdTim Boetsch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luke Rockhold(10 fights)Tim Boetsch(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +62.1|Blue -62.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -88.0|Blue +88.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Luke RockholdTargetTim Boetsch
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Luke Rockhold edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control1:35
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
