Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jean Matsumoto has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jean Matsumoto has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bekzat Almakhan
oldest →L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Mar 24W
KOvs Brad Katona · May 25L
vs Aleksandre Topuria · Nov 25 Jean Matsumoto
oldest →W
SUBvs Dan Argueta · Apr 24L
vs Farid Basharat · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bekzat AlmakhanMetricJean Matsumoto
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.12Δ 2.08 — meaningful gap-0.04
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bekzat Almakhan(4 fights)Jean Matsumoto(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -48.3|Blue +48.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bekzat AlmakhanTargetJean Matsumoto
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Bekzat Almakhan edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:37Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Jean Matsumoto edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:00
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
Round 3Jean Matsumoto edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:29Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
