Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sean Brady threatens submissions; Jake Matthews has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Sean Brady has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean Brady
oldest →W
SUBvs Kelvin Gastelum · Dec 23W
vs Gilbert Burns · Sep 24W
SUBvs Leon Edwards · Mar 25L
KOvs Michael Morales · Nov 25W
DECvs Joaquin Buckley · May 26 Jake Matthews
oldest →W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25W
SUBvs Chidi Njokuani · Jul 25L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Sep 25W
DECvs Carlston Harris · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean BradyMetricJake Matthews
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.31evenly matched on net striking+0.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sean BradyJake Matthews
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean Brady(10 fights)Jake Matthews(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sean BradyTargetJake Matthews
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sean Brady edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control2:40
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 2Sean Brady edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control3:33
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Sean Brady edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control1:55
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
