Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Pawel Pawlak has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Pawel Pawlak has 56pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sheldon Westcott (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Pawel PawlakL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Peter Sobotta · May 14L
vs Leon Edwards · Jul 15 Sheldon Westcott
oldest →L
KOvs Elias Theodorou · Apr 14W
KOvs Edgar Garcia · Jan 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Pawel PawlakMetricSheldon Westcott
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.55evenly matched on net striking-1.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Pawel PawlakSheldon Westcott
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Pawel Pawlak(3 fights)Sheldon Westcott(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -45.0|Blue +45.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Pawel PawlakTargetSheldon Westcott
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sheldon Westcott edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control0:08
11Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:37Control
Round 2Pawel Pawlak edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control0:58
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:02Control
Round 3Pawel Pawlak edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control2:01
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:21Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
