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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Chase Hooper won · U-DEC R3

Elo1516

Elo1525

Jim MillervsChase HooperUFC Prediction Result

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Saturday, April 12, 2025Miami, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Chase Hooper won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJim Miller: Submission grapplervsChase Hooper: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Chase Hooper wins(78.6%)

Actual result: Chase Hooper wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Chase Hooper at -800 American odds

+$13 profit

$113 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jim Miller has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Jim Miller

Red Corner

Chase Hooper

Blue Corner

+560

(15%)

Vegas Odds

-800

(89%)

1516

Elo

1525

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

6'1"

180.34 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jim MillerW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23

SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24

vs King Green · Apr 24

SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24

SUBvs Jared Gordon · May 26

latest

Chase Hooper

oldest →

SUBvs Viacheslav Borshchev · May 24

SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 24

KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Aug 25

KOvs Lance Gibson Jr. · Mar 26

SUBvs Mitch Ramirez · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jim MillerMetricChase Hooper

2.92

Strikes / min

4.50

3.43

Strikes absorbed / min

3.02

56%

Strike defense

39%

1.49

TDs / 15 min

2.43

47%

Takedown defense

55%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

2.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.51Δ 1.99 — meaningful gap+1.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jim MillerChase Hooper

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jim Miller(10 fights)Chase Hooper(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -8.6|Blue +8.6

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +21.0|Blue -21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jim MillerTargetChase Hooper

By target zone

37% acc · 85%

Head

38% acc · 62%

50% acc · 8%

Body

78% acc · 33%

33% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

25% acc · 54%

Distance

44% acc · 86%

50% acc · 8%

Clinch

100% acc · 5%

100% acc · 38%

Ground

100% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jim Miller rounds

even

Chase Hooper rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control1:39

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:57Control

Round 2Chase Hooper edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

5Sig. strikes

5Takedowns

4:04Control

Round 3Chase Hooper edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

4:07Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 35

Sig Strikes

21 / 44

32.7%

Sig Str %

47.3%

22 / 45

Total Strikes

59 / 94

1 / 1

TDs

8 / 14

100%

TD %

53.7%

Sub Att

Rev

1:39

Ctrl Time

10:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Chase Hooper	10 / 21	24 / 41	1 / 3	0
1	Jim Miller	10 / 16	14 / 21	1 / 1	2
2	Chase Hooper	5 / 11	10 / 19	5 / 8	0
2	Jim Miller	1 / 12	2 / 13	0 / 0	0
3	Chase Hooper	6 / 12	25 / 34	2 / 3	1
3	Jim Miller	2 / 7	6 / 11	0 / 0	0

Jim Miller

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights40

Chase Hooper

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14