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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Damon Jackson won · SUB

Elo1389

Elo1495

Mirsad BekticvsDamon JacksonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · Saturday, September 19, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Damon Jackson won

SUB

Style matchupMirsad Bektic: WrestlervsDamon Jackson: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Mirsad Bektic wins(73.0%)

Actual result: Damon Jackson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mirsad Bektic at -375 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mirsad Bektic has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Damon Jackson (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Mirsad Bektic

Red Corner

Damon Jackson

Blue Corner

-375

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+277

(27%)

1389

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'8"

Height

5'11"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mirsad BekticL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Darren Elkins · Mar 17

KOvs Godofredo Pepey · Jan 18

vs Ricardo Lamas · Jun 18

KOvs Josh Emmett · Jul 19

vs Dan Ige · Feb 20

latest

Damon JacksonL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Dan Ige · Jan 23

vs Billy Quarantillo · Aug 23

vs Alexander Hernandez · Apr 24

vs Chepe Mariscal · Aug 24

SUBvs Jim Miller · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mirsad BekticMetricDamon Jackson

2.43

Strikes / min

2.96

1.80

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

57%

Strike defense

49%

3.98

TDs / 15 min

2.30

92%

Takedown defense

37%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.63Δ 1.14 — meaningful gap-0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mirsad BekticDamon Jackson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mirsad Bektic(10 fights)Damon Jackson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -106.4|Blue +106.4

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -1988.0|Blue +1988.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mirsad BekticTargetDamon Jackson

By target zone

56% acc · 69%

Head

43% acc · 83%

50% acc · 8%

Body

67% acc · 17%

100% acc · 23%

Leg

By position

40% acc · 31%

Distance

17% acc · 17%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 25%

90% acc · 69%

Ground

64% acc · 58%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mirsad Bektic rounds

even

Damon Jackson rounds

Round 1Mirsad Bektic edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns4

Control4:25

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Mirsad Bektic edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns2

Control4:28

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:23Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns1

Control0:31

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:33Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 21

Sig Strikes

12 / 26

54%

Sig Str %

43%

76 / 102

Total Strikes

20 / 34

7 / 9

TDs

0 / 0

82%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

9:24

Ctrl Time

0:56

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Damon Jackson	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 0	3
1	Mirsad Bektic	11 / 16	38 / 55	4 / 5	0
2	Damon Jackson	7 / 11	9 / 13	0 / 0	2
2	Mirsad Bektic	2 / 5	35 / 44	2 / 3	0
3	Damon Jackson	4 / 12	10 / 18	0 / 0	2
3	Mirsad Bektic	0 / 0	3 / 3	1 / 1	0

Mirsad Bektic

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights10

Damon Jackson

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights12