Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jon Jones enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Jon Jones has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jon Jones has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Vitor Belfort (53.5%).
- Jon Jones has a 25cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon JonesW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Anthony Smith · Mar 19W
vs Thiago Santos · Jul 19W
vs Dominick Reyes · Feb 20W
SUBvs Ciryl Gane · Mar 23W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Nov 24 Vitor Belfort
oldest →W
KOvs Dan Henderson · Nov 15L
KOvs Jacare Souza · May 16L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Oct 16W
vs Nate Marquardt · Jun 17L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · May 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon JonesMetricVitor Belfort
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.14Δ 3.38 — meaningful gap-1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jon JonesVitor Belfort
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Jones(10 fights)Vitor Belfort(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +20.4|Blue -20.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -98.0|Blue +98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jon JonesTargetVitor Belfort
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jon Jones edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control4:31
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jon Jones edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control1:37
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jon Jones edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control2:59
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
0Knockdowns
Round 4Jon Jones edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:18
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
