Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alessio Sakara enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Alessio Sakara has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alessio Sakara has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Patrick CoteL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Joshua Burkman · Aug 15W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Jan 16L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jun 16L
vs Thiago Alves · Apr 17 Alessio SakaraL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs James Irvin · Mar 10L
vs Chris Weidman · Mar 11L
KOvs Brian Stann · Apr 12L
SUBvs Nico Musoke · Oct 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Patrick CoteMetricAlessio Sakara
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.40Δ 1.56 — meaningful gap+1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Patrick CoteAlessio Sakara
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Patrick Cote(10 fights)Alessio Sakara(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +7.3|Blue -7.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -84.0|Blue +84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Patrick CoteTargetAlessio Sakara
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alessio Sakara edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
