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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Michal Oleksiejczuk won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1411

Elo1508

Michal Oleksiejczuk editorial illustration

Gian VillantevsMichal OleksiejczukUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · Saturday, February 23, 2019Prague, Czech Republic

Official fight result

Michal Oleksiejczuk won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:34

Style matchupGian Villante: Pressure fightervsMichal Oleksiejczuk: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Michal Oleksiejczuk wins(62.7%)

Actual result: Michal Oleksiejczuk wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Michal Oleksiejczuk at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gian Villante enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Gian Villante has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Michal Oleksiejczuk (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Gian Villante

Red Corner

Michal Oleksiejczuk

Blue Corner

+180

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-220

(69%)

1411

Elo

1508

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

6'0"

193.04 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gian VillanteL3 streak

oldest →

vs Sam Alvey · Jun 18

vs Ed Herman · Oct 18

SUBvs Maurice Greene · Jun 20

vs Jake Collier · Dec 20

KOvs Chris Barnett · Nov 21

latest

Michal Oleksiejczuk

oldest →

vs Shara Magomedov · Aug 24

KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Apr 25

KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 25

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Feb 26

SUBvs Abus Magomedov · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gian VillanteMetricMichal Oleksiejczuk

4.38

Strikes / min

5.85

5.47

Strikes absorbed / min

4.50

55%

Strike defense

59%

0.45

TDs / 15 min

1.02

83%

Takedown defense

52%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.09Δ 2.44 — meaningful gap+1.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gian VillanteMichal Oleksiejczuk

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gian Villante(10 fights)Michal Oleksiejczuk(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -97.1|Blue +97.1

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -47.3|Blue +47.3

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gian VillanteTargetMichal Oleksiejczuk

By target zone

50% acc · 67%

Head

56% acc · 71%

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 29%

75% acc · 33%

Leg

By position

45% acc · 100%

Distance

68% acc · 93%

Clinch

Ground

33% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gian Villante rounds

even

Michal Oleksiejczuk rounds

Round 1Michal Oleksiejczuk edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

9 / 20

Sig Strikes

14 / 22

45%

Sig Str %

63%

9 / 20

Total Strikes

14 / 22

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Michal Oleksiejczuk	14 / 22	14 / 22	0 / 0	0
1	Gian Villante	9 / 20	9 / 20	0 / 0	0

Gian Villante

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights18

Michal Oleksiejczuk

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights18