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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Losene Keita won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1481
Elo1513

Losene KeitavsMuhammad NaimovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · Saturday, September 5, 2026Paris, France

Official fight result

Losene Keita won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:54

Style matchupLosene Keita: StrikervsMuhammad Naimov: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Losene Keita is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Muhammad Naimov has lost 67% of fights by KO.
  • Losene Keita has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Losene Keita has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Losene Keita
Red Corner
VS
Muhammad Naimov
Blue Corner
-354
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+274
(27%)
1481
Elo
1513
28
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Losene Keita
oldest →
L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Mar 26
latest
Muhammad Naimov
oldest →
W
KOvs Erik Silva · Feb 24
L
SUBvs Felipe Lima · Jun 24
W
vs Kaan Ofli · Feb 25
W
vs Bogdan Grad · Jun 25
L
KOvs Mairon Santos · Dec 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Losene KeitaMetricMuhammad Naimov
3.47
Strikes / min
2.51
4.47
Strikes absorbed / min
3.35
62%
Strike defense
44%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.49
100%
Takedown defense
68%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.00evenly matched on net striking-0.84
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Losene Keita(1 fights)Muhammad Naimov(7 fights)

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Losene KeitaTargetMuhammad Naimov

By target zone

16
59% acc · 89%
Head
2
10% acc · 50%
2
67% acc · 11%
Body
2
67% acc · 50%
0
Leg
0

By position

10
48% acc · 56%
Distance
4
17% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
8
89% acc · 44%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Losene Keita rounds
0
even
0
Muhammad Naimov rounds
Round 1Losene Keita edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:20
Knockdowns2
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2
KD
0
18 / 30
Sig Strikes
4 / 24
60%
Sig Str %
16%
19 / 31
Total Strikes
4 / 24
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:20
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Muhammad Naimov4 / 244 / 240 / 00
1Losene Keita18 / 3019 / 310 / 00

Losene Keita

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2

Muhammad Naimov

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8