Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michal Oleksiejczuk has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Shara Magomedov has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michal Oleksiejczuk (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shara MagomedovW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Antonio Trocoli · Jun 24W
KOvs Armen Petrosyan · Oct 24L
vs Michael Page · Feb 25W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jul 25W
DECvs Michel Pereira · Jun 26 Michal Oleksiejczuk
oldest →L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 24W
KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Apr 25W
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 25W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Feb 26L
SUBvs Abus Magomedov · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shara MagomedovMetricMichal Oleksiejczuk
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.08evenly matched on net striking+1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Shara MagomedovMichal Oleksiejczuk
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shara Magomedov(7 fights)Michal Oleksiejczuk(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +39.9|Blue -39.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Shara MagomedovTargetMichal Oleksiejczuk
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Michal Oleksiejczuk rounds
Round 1Shara Magomedov edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:00
35Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 2Shara Magomedov edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:44Control
Round 3Michal Oleksiejczuk edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:47Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
