Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- George Sullivan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Tim Means has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
George SullivanL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Igor Araujo · Sep 14W
vs Dominic Waters · Jul 15L
KOvs Alexander Yakovlev · Jan 16L
SUBvs Niko Price · Jan 18L
SUBvs Mickey Gall · Aug 18 Tim MeansL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23W
KOvs Andre Fialho · Sep 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
George SullivanMetricTim Means
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.11evenly matched on net striking+1.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
George SullivanTim Means
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
George Sullivan(7 fights)Tim Means(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -124.5|Blue +124.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +168.0|Blue -168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
George SullivanTargetTim Means
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1George Sullivan edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:27
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 2Tim Means edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:23Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Tim Means edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:20Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
