Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Amanda Nunes
oldest →W
vs Germaine de Randamie · Dec 19W
vs Felicia Spencer · Jun 20W
SUBvs Megan Anderson · Mar 21L
SUBvs Julianna Pena · Dec 21W
vs Julianna Pena · Jul 22 Irene Aldana
oldest →W
KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Jul 21W
KOvs Macy Chiasson · Sep 22L
vs Norma Dumont · Sep 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Amanda NunesMetricIrene Aldana
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.93Δ 3.38 — meaningful gap-1.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Amanda NunesIrene Aldana
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Amanda Nunes(10 fights)Irene Aldana(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.4|Blue -2.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Amanda NunesTargetIrene Aldana
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:01
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns1
Control0:05
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns3
Control2:05
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 4Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes48
Takedowns1
Control0:13
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 5Amanda Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control4:36
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
