Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Yoel Romero is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Israel Adesanya has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Israel Adesanya (54.1%).
- Israel Adesanya has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Israel AdesanyaL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 23L
vs Sean Strickland · Sep 23L
SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 24L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Feb 25 Yoel RomeroL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Nov 16L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 17W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Feb 18L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jun 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Israel AdesanyaMetricYoel Romero
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.81evenly matched on net striking+0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Israel AdesanyaYoel Romero
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Israel Adesanya(10 fights)Yoel Romero(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +82.9|Blue -82.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Israel AdesanyaTargetYoel Romero
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Yoel Romero edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Israel Adesanya edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Israel Adesanya edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Israel Adesanya edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Yoel Romero edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
