Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- DaMarques Johnson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mike Guymon has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mike Guymon has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
DaMarques JohnsonL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Amir Sadollah · Mar 11W
KOvs Clay Harvison · Nov 11L
SUBvs John Maguire · Apr 12L
KOvs Mike Swick · Aug 12L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Sep 12 Mike Guymon
oldest →W
vs Yoshiyuki Yoshida · May 10L
SUBvs Daniel Roberts · Oct 10 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
DaMarques JohnsonMetricMike Guymon
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.64Δ 3.60 — meaningful gap+1.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
DaMarques JohnsonMike Guymon
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
DaMarques Johnson(8 fights)Mike Guymon(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +83.0|Blue -83.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
DaMarques JohnsonTargetMike Guymon
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
DaMarques Johnson rounds
Round 1DaMarques Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control3:06
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
