Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Israel Adesanya enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Israel Adesanya has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Israel Adesanya has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dricus Du Plessis
oldest →W
KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jul 23W
vs Sean Strickland · Jan 24W
vs Sean Strickland · Feb 25L
vs Khamzat Chimaev · Aug 25W
DECvs Kamaru Usman · Jul 26 Israel AdesanyaL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Nov 22W
KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 23L
vs Sean Strickland · Sep 23L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Feb 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dricus Du PlessisMetricIsrael Adesanya
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dricus Du PlessisIsrael Adesanya
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dricus Du Plessis(10 fights)Israel Adesanya(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +77.5|Blue -77.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -133.0|Blue +133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dricus Du PlessisTargetIsrael Adesanya
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Dricus Du Plessis rounds
Round 1Dricus Du Plessis edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Dricus Du Plessis edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns3
Control3:28
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 3Israel Adesanya edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:00
40Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Dricus Du Plessis edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control0:11
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
