Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bo Nickal enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Bo Nickal is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Reinier de Ridder has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Bo Nickal has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Bo Nickal has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Reinier de RidderL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Nov 24W
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jan 25W
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 25L
KOvs Brendan Allen · Oct 25L
vs Caio Borralho · Mar 26 Bo NickalW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Val Woodburn · Jul 23W
SUBvs Cody Brundage · Apr 24W
KOvs Rodolfo Vieira · Nov 25W
KOvs Kyle Daukaus · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Reinier de RidderMetricBo Nickal
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.11Δ 1.17 — meaningful gap+1.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Reinier de RidderBo Nickal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Reinier de Ridder(6 fights)Bo Nickal(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -18.6|Blue +18.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Reinier de RidderTargetBo Nickal
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Reinier de Ridder rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control1:52
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:00Control
Round 2Reinier de Ridder edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:17
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
