Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- DaMarques Johnson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Matthew Riddle has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matthew Riddle (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
DaMarques JohnsonL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Amir Sadollah · Mar 11W
KOvs Clay Harvison · Nov 11L
SUBvs John Maguire · Apr 12L
KOvs Mike Swick · Aug 12L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Sep 12 Matthew RiddleW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Sean Pierson · Dec 10L
vs Lance Benoist · Sep 11W
vs Henry Martinez · Feb 12W
vs John Maguire · Nov 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
DaMarques JohnsonMetricMatthew Riddle
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.64Δ 1.91 — meaningful gap+0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
DaMarques JohnsonMatthew Riddle
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
DaMarques Johnson(8 fights)Matthew Riddle(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -138.5|Blue +138.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.1|Blue +2.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
DaMarques JohnsonTargetMatthew Riddle
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
DaMarques Johnson rounds
Round 1Matthew Riddle edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:23Control
Round 2Matthew Riddle edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:47
24Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:18Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
