Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon FitchL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Ben Saunders · Mar 10W
vs Thiago Alves · Aug 10L
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Dec 11 Erick SilvaL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Nordine Taleb · Mar 16W
SUBvs Luan Chagas · Sep 16L
KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon FitchMetricErick Silva
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.96Δ 2.64 — meaningful gap-1.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jon FitchErick Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Fitch(5 fights)Erick Silva(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +127.1|Blue -127.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +161.0|Blue -161.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jon FitchTargetErick Silva
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jon Fitch edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns4
Control2:46
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
Round 2Erick Silva edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control1:27
11Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:24Control
Round 3Jon Fitch edged it
Sig. strikes58
Takedowns2
Control4:37
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
