Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jordan Rinaldi threatens submissions; Abel Trujillo has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Abel Trujillo has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Abel TrujilloL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Dec 14W
vs Gleison Tibau · Nov 15W
SUBvs Tony Sims · Jan 16L
SUBvs James Vick · Feb 17L
vs John Makdessi · Dec 17 Jordan Rinaldi
oldest →W
SUBvs Alvaro Herrera · Aug 17L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 18W
vs Jason Knight · Nov 18L
vs Arnold Allen · Mar 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Abel TrujilloMetricJordan Rinaldi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.34Δ 1.10 — meaningful gap-0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Abel TrujilloJordan Rinaldi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Abel Trujillo(10 fights)Jordan Rinaldi(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -128.4|Blue +128.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.8|Blue +47.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Abel TrujilloTargetJordan Rinaldi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Abel Trujillo edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control1:43
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Jordan Rinaldi edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control1:07
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:03Control
Round 3Abel Trujillo edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns1
Control1:15
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:40Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
