Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin TyburaL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Mar 24L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26 Jhonata Diniz
oldest →W
KOvs Austen Lane · Apr 24W
vs Karl Williams · Aug 24L
KOvs Mario Pinto · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin TyburaMetricJhonata Diniz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marcin TyburaJhonata Diniz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Tybura(10 fights)Jhonata Diniz(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -5.8|Blue +5.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marcin TyburaTargetJhonata Diniz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Marcin Tybura edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control3:57
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:36Control
Round 2Marcin Tybura edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns1
Control3:17
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
