Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jussier Formiga has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jussier FormigaL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Ben Nguyen · Feb 18W
vs Sergio Pettis · Oct 18W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Mar 19L
KOvs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 19L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jun 20 Brandon MorenoL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Brandon Royval · Feb 24L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 25L
vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jussier FormigaMetricBrandon Moreno
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.92Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap+0.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jussier FormigaBrandon Moreno
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jussier Formiga(10 fights)Brandon Moreno(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -103.2|Blue +103.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +168.0|Blue -168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jussier FormigaTargetBrandon Moreno
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brandon Moreno edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:58
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:45Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control2:09
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:58Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control1:05
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
