Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carlos Ulberg enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Carlos Ulberg has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jan Blachowicz
oldest →W
vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 21L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22L
vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23D
vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25 Carlos UlbergW5 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Da Woon Jung · Sep 23W
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · May 24W
vs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 24W
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Sep 25W
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jan BlachowiczMetricCarlos Ulberg
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.41Δ 2.13 — meaningful gap+2.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jan BlachowiczCarlos Ulberg
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)Carlos Ulberg(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -79.2|Blue +79.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +483.0|Blue -483.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jan BlachowiczTargetCarlos Ulberg
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jan Blachowicz edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Carlos Ulberg edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 3Carlos Ulberg edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
